President is Right. CCD data shows excess deaths due to Covid are flat!

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Yesterday at the debate, President Trump mentioned that the United States is turning a corner in the fight against Covid-19. Immediately, the left wing Marxist media pooh-poohed the idea by citing the higher number of infections.

Hello ! What is the measure of the undesirable outcome, infection rate or mortality rate?

If it is mortality rate, then the Centre for Communicable Diseases publishes an excellent resource which measures the Excess deaths due to Covid under the “Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report“.

And it clearly shows on page the Excess deaths, which means “Excess deaths are typically defined as the number of persons who have died from all causes, in excess of the expected
number of deaths for a given place and time” i.e. controlling for all factors are flat compared to last year.

Covid Excess Deaths are Flat

Covid Excess deaths are flat!

This report compares excess deaths across a whole set of demographics. Covid related excess deaths spiked in the March – May, with a second spike in Jul – Aug, but from September, it is brought down to 0.

Here is a breakdown of excess deaths by demographic age group

Covid Excess deaths are flat!
Excess deaths are flat

Read the Report!

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6942e2-H.pdf

 


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6 COMMENTS

    • Our goal is to ‘promote Rembau’. Our dream is for President Trump to mention Rembau in a conversation with Tan Sri Muhyiddin.

  1. Its not promoting Trump per se. I had a question about this entire Covid issue – with regards to whether it was getting better or worse. So I had to answer my own question with data. All my articles have some relationship to data or data analytics or decision theory. The headlines are my version of making articles interesting.

    [NOTE THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION, MAKE YOUR DECISION USING YOUR OWN RECOMMENDATION ENGINE]
    By the way, the “political news flow” has major implications on Economics. For example, if you believe Biden will win, which the market happened to believe yesterday, then oil stocks will be slammed – which they were. Exxon Mobil, Conoco Phillips, Occidental (ugh), EOG – even Chevron, all got slammed this week. If you believe that Trump will win, and the economy will re-open, you would buy Oil stocks or bank stocks and short tech stocks like Facebook and Twitter.

  2. I do not agree tech stock will drop under Trump. Innovation company like tech stock need more deregulation to grow. Do you see the tech stock stock price spike up a lot under Trump presidency.

  3. [FORM YOUR OWN OPNION – THIS IS NOT ADVICE ]
    The reason is under Trump 2.0 there will be the dreaded R-word : REGULATION (as in Warren G Regulator).
    The market is super spooked with REGULATION. That’s why when Obama was in charge, JPM’s share price was super low and all of them shot up once Trump got elected.
    (Am right now reading up about morphemes – no its not a drug)
    My call for a tech crash still stands

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