On the face of it, any electoral pundit would claim this to be complete nonsense. Oregon has been enslaved by the Democratic party since 1988. The last Republican candidate to carry the state was Ronald Reagan against an unknown Walter Mondale. Bush came within 7,000 votes of taking the state in 2000, where the Green candidate Ralph Nader took 70,000 votes.
However, the City of Portland, the most populous city in Oregon has been rocked with riots since May. The state is governed by Governor Kate Brown, a Democrat, who assumed office in 2015.
Can this change the riots change the maths?
This is how the rest of America pictured Oregon prior to the riots of 2020.
But all of that changed in 2020.
First lets see an electoral map of of Oregon over here.
By the map, it will appear that from a geographic point of view, most of the land supports Trump, but in fact Oregon is just a few shades of blue away from the darkest of dark blue: California. So what gives?
According to Opinion polls, Biden is up 23 points in Oregon, with the last survey taken in late August. There seems to be no impact whatsoever of the Portland riots. But can this all change?
The reason that the Dems won is because of the top 4 most populous counties : Multnomah , Washington , Lane , Clackamas heavily support the Democratic party. In fact of the 1.0 Million votes that Hillary Clinton won in 2016, about 650,000 or 65% of these votes came from the above counties. Outside these 4 counties, Clinton got 350,000 votes and the President got 475,000 votes, so outside those 4 counties, the state of Oregon is safe “Trump country.” .
Now there 1 question that is put before the Oregonians is this entire Portland city riot. The other issue is perhaps the wildfires that have ripped through the woods recently, some of which were started deliberately.
The reason is because Oregon, home of the rolling woods and tall pine trees is also a hotbed for Antifa activity. The question before voters is whether they will rightfully blame the Democratic party (who consider Antifa as a concept) or continue to vote like they have done before. There is actually some precedence for Oregonians bucking the trend, in 2000, Oregon almost went to George W Bush as voters may have been sickened by the Clinton shenanigan’s.
So what will it take for Trump to win in Oregon?
The media seem to think that Joe Biden has already won this election People are talking about him surpassing Barrack Obama’s 2008 election landslide. Some say he will match Ronald Reagan. But for us, the question is whether the President can liberate Oregon from the clutches of Antifa?
It will take 2 out of 10 Democratic voters in Multnomah , Washington , Lane , Clackamas counties to refrain from voting Democrats and for Trump to pick up 50% of those disappointed Democratic supporters. Will 2 out of 10 affected disenchanted Democrat voters pick up the courage and hold the Democrats accountable for Antifa?
With that Trump will narrow the loss in the Big 4 counties to about 150,000 votes, enough for him to triumph in the rest of Oregon which is good, safe Trump country.
How can this be achieved?
Objective of message:
Associate those who deny the existence of Antifa with Antifa.
And since you are here, we have a favor to ask
This Joe Biden’s tour stop in Yuma, Arizona, a city of 90,000. Arizona is rated by the ‘pollsters’ as Biden +4. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (or Billary) got 24,000 votes in Yuma. Trump actually won in Arizona in 2016 by 48.1% to 44.6%. The question is how many supporters can you find, including toddlers.
Our count is something like 50 in a city of 90,000.